By Mario Tuzzi
Soccer gambling proved a popular
past time within the United States when the World Cup
came around
two years ago and online sportsbooks catering to this
market did not witness the sharp decline in business
they normally
see immediately following March Madness.
Truth be told, most North American friendly sports betting
shops now offer lines on the more popular world soccer
league match ups, though they do not have a leg up on
their European and Asian counterparts just yet. However,
it may be worthwhile to sign up with a wagering shop
like Bet Mill or Bodog that feature some soccer gambling
events for the mere sake of value.
What do we mean by value? Well first of all, try finding
a European based bookmaker that offers up to 25% in free
signup cash not to mention re-deposit bonuses. Bet Mill
specials include 10% free cash with deposit plus 15%
match play while Bodog regularly shifts between a 10%
and 20% bonus.
Then there are the lines. The Caribbean and Central
American bookmakers simply do not have expertise when
it comes to soccer. Therefore, one is bound to find some
lines out of whack thus providing an excellent betting
opportunity.
There are some obstacles that a soccer bettor must overcome.
The fact is that bookmakers tend to maintain a hold of
more than 10% with soccer as opposed to barely holding
5% with American football. In layman's terms, this means
the bookmaker has a pretty strong advantage over the
punter.
When betting soccer it is important to compare
the winning potential of opposing teams and making an
assessment
of the predicted outcome using a form of probability
distribution.
Football.co.uk provides the following example:
Manchester
United v. Arsenal:
Probability Distribution
Home Win 55% - Draw 25% - Away
Win 20%
On its own, this probability distribution does really
mean much other than the most likely outcome of this
match is a Home Win for Manchester United, which is pretty
much a no-brainer unless of course the two teams are
terribly matched with the weaker link being Arsenal (not
the case here). However, given that the average probability
distribution of league match outcomes is 46% home win,
27% draw, 27% away win (for English league matches),
it is far from clear that betting on a Manchester United
victory makes good betting sense. To utilize this match
information in a meaningful way, we need to have a look
at what betting odds are being offered by the bookmaker.
Soccer gambling is fun, addictive and fairly easy to
master even if you're residing in the United States and
don't know a lick about the game.
Source: www.1800-Sports.com