By Derek Part 2
Accurate record keeping and a diligent
money management policy are equally if not more important
than the ability to pick winners for anyone with ambitions
to make consistent profits in the sports betting arena.
I have posted several articles on various staking methods
and money management and one should copy these and file
away for constant viewing.
Most people with a general interest in sport have the
ability to pick a winning team in any contest, but the
belief that this alone is enough to secure a steady flow
of profits is a certain recipe for disaster. Without
an overall plan and accurate records of all bets placed
it is impossible to rise above the level of intuition
and lucky guessing over an extended period.
Make no mistake about it, there are countless punters
all over the world who fail regularly to make a decent
income from betting simply because they rely totally
on their ability to pick winners without regard for money
management and a cohesive strategy that covers the "bigger
picture".
I know of many gamblers who have ended their days with
little to show for a lifetime's work despite having reasonable
ability in researching and weighing-up the factors involved
in determining a winning bet because they didn't formulate
a long-term plan and strategy.
Am I making myself clear? Have I got your attention?
Let me say it again. To have any real prospect of making
long-term profits from the field of sports betting -
accurate records, money management, and a dedicated approach
to research and fact-finding are crucial and compulsory,
or a lifetime of disappointment is guaranteed.
So where do we start? That's easy, first of all we need
a few items to help us along. Get yourself a pen and
a notebook, some refreshments (tea, coffee, fizzy carbonated
drinks and chocolate are good, alcohol is not) and get
comfortable.
Today I am going to establish the principles that will
last a lifetime, and go a long way towards turning enthusiastic
amateur punters into full time professional sports investors.
Let's be clear that there is no magic formula or secret
ingredient that will turn a pin sticker into a bookie-plunderer
overnight, and there are simply no shortcuts that I know
of. Hard work and persistence are the main qualities
needed here, and if you aren't willing to invest some
time and effort then it's time to stop reading.
If on the other hand you have a desire to move up a
level from a hobby bettor, then get ready for many hours
studying your new profession, and be ready to reap the
rewards.
Starting today, not tomorrow, but today, establish a
bankroll. How much are you prepared to lose? How much
can you afford to invest in yourself? Set a figure that
you can live comfortably with and be prepared to lose
every single penny of it. Hang on, isn't this supposed
to be about winning money? I hear many of you shouting
at the page. Yes of course it is, but let's use the initial
bankroll and set ourselves the "worst case scenario" where
it all ends up in the bookies wallet if we fail.
It won't happen if the principles I outline are followed,
but let's assume it all goes horribly wrong and if the
bankroll is an amount we can afford to lose, then nothing
will be lost except a little money. Our lives won't be
dramatically altered by a miss-guided attempt to enter
an arena for which we have no aptitude.
Starting today you will make a note of every single
bet you make. I don't need to do this with you as I already
do and have every bet I have made be it ?1 or ?1000,
it is all logged. Date, selection, price, stake, percentage
of stake in relation to bankroll, returns, profit/loss
and finally accumulated balance. No exceptions, no misses,
no excuses.
Every single penny of the bankroll must now be accounted
for every step of the way with no room for the "I'll
do it later" attitude. Quite simply, without this
record keeping there is absolutely no possible way of
getting an accurate picture of a betting campaign, and
if it's left to memory we cannot hope to progress beyond
the level of amateur punting.
The next rule to ingrain on our thought process is how
much to bet with on each bet, and the rule here is simple.
Never bet more than 5% of the bankroll on any given game.
Less would be better 2 - 3%, but 5% is high enough and
should be only betted when as much is in your favour
as could possibly be. This means that if the bankroll
is 1000, on no occasion should any more than 50 be
at risk on any one game.
It doesn't matter if a sure thing is offered
(there will always be sure things), no more than 5% is
a rule that I adhere to except under the most exceptional
circumstances. These exceptional circumstances have presented
themselves to me on three occasions the last calendar
year and I was fortunate enough to win on all three.
The reasons are easily explained. By never risking more
than this percentage you are assured that a bad run of
losing bets will not wipe out your entire bank, and all
the while you'll be building up an exhaustive record
of bets placed that will help you to pinpoint your strengths
and weaknesses in the tipping area of your strategy.
I cannot emphasise strongly enough how vital this first-level
money management principle is to long term success. Without
the discipline required to stick to the strategy you
might as well give up and go back to whatever methods
you used before.
In summary here's what I've outlined today.
Establish an initial bankroll
Keep accurate records of all bets
Never risk more than 5% (less is better) of the bank
on any one game.