By William D Foote
Does
anyone know why so many people lose at sports betting?
Most think it is because of poor handicapping. While
this can be true, it is not why most people lose. We
know hundreds and hundreds of folks that are excellent
handicappers or have access to winning picks that still
lose their shirts year in and year out.
Quite simply, the vast majority of all gamblers maintain
poor money management skills. That simple reason above
all others is why they lose money. There are those that
manage money poorly because they are uninformed and there
are those that manage poorly because they are undisciplined.
Unfortunately most often times, gamblers are uniformed
and undisciplined.
We could write an entire twelve Volume Encyclopedia
length case study on this subject. Given our space and
time, we are going to summarize and hopefully you will
get the gist. We want to talk about betting discipline
and bet size. They actually go hand in hand.
If you are serious about success, it is imperative
that you make a plan and remain disciplined. Your plan
must entail proper bet size per unit or per game. You
should never risk more than 5% of your bankroll on any
one play with an average play being roughly 2% to 3%
of your bankroll. We would guess that 99.9% of gamblers
are wagering too much on each game and we strongly urge
you to not fall into the same trap.
Most people will wonder, 2% of bankroll? How the hell
am I going to make any real money that way? Our answer
is very simple. Exert a little patience and a little
discipline over a period of time. If you do this, 2%
of a growing bankroll can earn you a full time living
no matter how small your bankroll is to start. Not too
long ago, we wrote an article showing how a $2,000 bankroll
could turn into $7,000,000 in twenty years playing 4%
on each game and picking only 55%.
It is imperative to bet a low percentage of bankroll
to achieve success. Over the course of any season, and
especially in the daily sports, you will encounter winning
as well as losing streaks. If you are betting too high
of bankroll percentage, one losing streak could eat up
your entire bankroll and put you out of business. We
cannot stress enough how important this concept is to
your success.
A typical example would be a player that has a bankroll
of $1000 and bets $100 on each game. One of two things
will happen to this player. He will either hit a cold
streak and be out of the game before he knows it, or
he will hit a hot streak, up his bets to $200 or $300
per game and then hit a losing streak and be forced out
of the game. Quite simply, there is no way to win if
you are betting 10% of your bankroll on each game. Losing
streaks will happen, as simple mathematics dictates this
fact.
The next area we need to focus on is discipline. This
is where most folks fail miserably. We have been betting
full time for nearly many years. In the beginning, we
were unsuccessful because we lacked discipline. We always
could pick winners, but sticking to a very strict plan
was the problem. If there is any one piece of advice
we could lend amateur sports bettors it is this; you
are not going to win every day or even every week. Do
not concern yourselves with the battles and focus on
the war.
Do you know how often we get emails from clients that
sound like this, “I was wondering about the free
service I am entitled to because of the losing week we
had”. We will read this, scratch our heads for
a moment and reply back. “Losing week? You should
have gone 7-3 and picked up 9 units. We went 1-0 on Thursday,
1-0 on Friday, 4-0 on Saturday and 1-3 on Sunday. How
did you lose money going 7-3?” To which the client
replies.
“Well, I was betting $100 per game Thursday, Friday
and Saturday and made $600. On Sunday I decided to up
my bets to $300 a piece in the morning and went 1-2 and
lost $360. Since I was down over $300 dollars for Sunday,
I bet $700 on the Sunday Night Game. This way I could
win back the $360 lost earlier in the day and still show
a Sunday profit. Well, the Sunday Night Game lost and
now I am in the hole $530 for the week and you all said
of I did not show a profit I would get free service.”
Basically, this person had turned a 7-3 weekend into
a lose money proposition. In other words, the picks he
bet went 70% and he lost money. Day in and day out we
receive similar emails with similar type circumstances.
The difference between professional gamblers and amateur
gamblers is 20% the quality of picks they are playing
and 80% the way they manage money. In the case we had
described above, the individual failed to accept that
Sunday was not going to produce a net profit for him
(the battle). Instead of realizing that Thursday through
Sunday was a great success that netted a significant
profit (the war), they chose to lose site of the overall
plan.
We wish we had more time and more space to help you
all understand these concepts, as they are extremely
valuable. It pains us to see folks lose over and over
because they do not understand money management and the
concept of long term profit as opposed to near term foolishness.
Make a plan, establish a bankroll, stick to the plan
and you will make money. Don’t do those things
and you will not.