by Henry Tamburin

How many questions do I get on blackjack? Glad you asked. I figure about five a month, on average, so that’s 60 a year, or roughly 2,100 over the past 35 years that I’ve been a blackjack writer (whew). And what were the most asked questions? Here they are, slightly paraphrased, and in no particular order.


 1.Do clueless players negatively affect my chances of winning?

There you are with a big bet on the felt and the dealer gives you a lousy 10-5 while she shows a 6 upcard. You stand just as the books tell you, hoping she breaks. The third base player holds a 10-6 and he acts next. Surely he will stand. You cringe in disbelief when Mr. Clueless gives the hit signal and, sure enough, gets the dealer’s potential bust card. You just know what’s going to unfold next. The dealer flips over a ten for 16, draws a five for 21 and you and everyone else on the table loses.

But did that clueless player really cause you and everyone else to lose? Did he know, or you know, or anyone know for that matter, what the order of the cards was in the shoe before that hand was dealt? The third base player could have gotten the five and the dealer the bust card just as easily. The point is that the poor play of other players really has no effect on your expectation of winning or losing in the long run (if it were true that clueless players cause other players to lose, wouldn’t casinos hire them to play?).


2.The house always wins so why not follow the playing strategy that the dealer uses?

The house has the edge in blackjack, not because of the playing strategy used by the dealer, but because of the fact that if you go over 21 and the dealer goes over 21, you still lose. In fact, if you follow the dealer’s strategy of always hitting on 16 or less and standing on 17 or more, you will lose big time in the long run. It’s a lousy strategy and should never be used.


3.If I follow a progressive betting system, won’t I win?

A progressive betting system is a predetermined way to bet based on the result of past decisions. For example, if you win a hand you increase your bet on the subsequent hand from $5 to $10. Many blackjack players use some type of progressive betting system that they believe will improve their chances of winning. However, it has been proven mathematically, beyond any doubt, that progressive betting systems alone cannot alter your long-term expectation of winning at blackjack. In other words, progressive betting systems might be fun to use and they can increase the amount you could win (or lose) in each session compared to betting the same amount on every hand, but they don’t alter the house edge one iota and they don’t improve your chances of winning in the long run.


4.Why can’t you win at blackjack by betting more when the dealer is cold and less when she’s hot?

Great idea. Now tell me how are you going to know beforehand when the dealer is going to get cold? That’s the point. You don’t know when the dealer is “cold” until after it happens. And even if you found a “cold dealer” and sat down to play, what’s to say she won’t turn hot? Dealers get cold and hot and there is no way to predict when it’s going to happen. Betting more when the dealer is cold is not a way to win at blackjack.


5.My chances of winning a hand are about 50-50 so if I lose five hands in a row, aren’t I due to win and, therefore, shouldn’t I bet more?

You are not more likely to win the next hand just because you lost the five previous hands. Yes, eventually you will win about 48% of the hands played (discarding ties) but eventually is a long time. In the short term, losing five hands in a row can and will happen and it is not a good predictor of your chances of winning the next hand.


6.Shouldn’t I always take even money when I have a blackjack and the dealer shows an ace?

It’s tempting to take the even money because you can’t lose even if the dealer winds up with a blackjack. But did you ever think why casinos would offer players the opportunity to win even money to begin with? It’s because they are paying you off on a hand that has the potential to earn a player slightly more than even money on average. In other words, by declining the even money you will end up winning about 4% more in the long run than if you always accepted the even money. Surprise the casinos the next time you play, and decline the even money.


7.Is blackjack card counting legal?

Blackjack card counting is perfectly legal if you are just using your brain to decide how to play and bet.


8. How can you count cards in a casino when they use six decks of cards?

Card counting doesn’t involve memorizing every card that has been played. You are just adding and subtracting tags that card counters assign to specific cards in the deck. The common tags are “plus one” for small cards and “minus one” for big cards. Card counters mentally add these card tags as the hands are played out, in effect, netting the results by keeping a running tally. The number of decks of cards doesn’t change the methodology of adding and subtracting the tags. So card counting is not all that much more difficult with six decks as it is with one deck.


9.I don’t understand how card counting works. If the count is high and there are more big cards left in the shoe than the average, wouldn’t the dealer have the same chance as I will of getting the big cards?

Yes, but the difference is that you get paid 3 to 2 if you get an untied blackjack whereas you only pay the dealer even money if he gets an untied blackjack; you can stand on a 12-16 when there are a lot of big cards remaining in the unplayed cards but the dealer must always hit 12-16, and in high counts his chances of busting increase; and your chances of winning a doubled bet (say, on an 11) are very good in high counts whereas the dealer can’t double down. The point is that, for the card counter who detects a high count, the rules and options in blackjack favor the player over the dealer, which card counters can exploit to gain the advantage.


10.How can the casinos get away with barring card counters?

Under the ancient common law right, a property owner could eject from his premises anyone, for any reason, or even without a reason. The courts, at least in Nevada, have ruled that casinos are technically a private property and under the above ancient law can exclude card counters (or any player for that matter). But don’t let this concern you. There are many successful card counters that do not get excluded when they play.

Source: www.smartgaming.com